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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU SEP 21 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT SUN SEP 24 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.0N  88.0W      36  X  X  X 36   ST MARKS FL        2  9  5  X 16
31.0N  87.5W      12 11  1  X 24   APALACHICOLA FL    9  7  2  X 18
32.5N  85.0W       X  9  8  X 17   PANAMA CITY FL    12  7  2  X 21
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  2  X  2   PENSACOLA FL      18  7  1  X 26
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  3  X  3   MOBILE AL         17  8  X  X 25
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  5  X  5   GULFPORT MS       19  5  X  X 24
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  1  7  X  8   BURAS LA          24  1  X  X 25
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  6  X  6   NEW ORLEANS LA    14  4  X  X 18
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  2  X  2   NEW IBERIA LA      2  5  1  X  8
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  3  X  3   GULF 29N 85W      12  5  1  X 18
FT MYERS FL        X  X  4  X  4   GULF 29N 87W      32  X  X  X 32
VENICE FL          X  1  6  X  7   GULF 28N 89W      42  X  X  X 42
TAMPA FL           X  2  6  X  8   GULF 28N 91W      10  1  1  X 12
CEDAR KEY FL       1  3  8  X 12
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
C FROM  1PM FRI TO  1AM SAT
D FROM  1AM SAT TO  1AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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