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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 19 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT FRI SEP 22 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
22.7N 85.3W 52 X X X 52 MARCO ISLAND FL X 1 3 7 11
24.5N 86.5W 7 29 X X 36 FT MYERS FL X 1 3 8 12
26.5N 86.5W X 14 13 1 28 VENICE FL X 1 6 7 14
MWCG 193N 814W 99 X X X 99 TAMPA FL X X 4 10 14
MUCF 221N 805W 3 X X 1 4 CEDAR KEY FL X X 2 12 14
MUSN 216N 826W 74 X X X 74 ST MARKS FL X X 1 14 15
MUHA 230N 824W 30 X X 1 31 APALACHICOLA FL X X 4 13 17
MUAN 219N 850W 56 X X X 56 PANAMA CITY FL X X 3 15 18
MMCZ 205N 869W 9 2 X X 11 PENSACOLA FL X X 2 15 17
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 4 4 MOBILE AL X X 1 15 16
MARATHON FL X X 1 6 7 GULFPORT MS X X 1 14 15
MIAMI FL X X 1 6 7 BURAS LA X X 3 12 15
W PALM BEACH FL X X X 7 7 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 1 11 12
FT PIERCE FL X X X 8 8 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 8 8
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 9 9 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 9 9 GULF 29N 85W X X 8 11 19
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 9 9 GULF 29N 87W X X 10 10 20
SAVANNAH GA X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 89W X X 11 7 18
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W X X 3 7 10
KEY WEST FL 1 1 3 4 9 GULF 28N 93W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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