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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT SEP 16 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST TUE SEP 19 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
16.5N 63.0W 53 X X X 53 MTCA 183N 738W X X 2 15 17
16.8N 66.0W X 31 X X 31 MKJP 179N 768W X X X 12 12
17.0N 69.0W X 6 16 1 23 MKJS 185N 779W X X X 9 9
SKPG 125N 717W X X 2 7 9 MWCG 193N 814W X X X 2 2
TNCC 122N 690W X X 4 3 7 MUGM 200N 751W X X X 13 13
TVSV 131N 612W 2 X X X 2 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 6 6
TLPL 138N 610W 9 1 X X 10 MUCF 221N 805W X X X 2 2
TFFF 146N 610W 37 X X X 37 TJSJ 184N 661W X 24 2 X 26
TDPR 153N 614W 57 X X X 57 MDPP 198N 707W X X 10 6 16
TFFR 163N 615W 68 X 1 X 69 MBJT 215N 712W X X 3 8 11
TAPA 171N 618W 63 X X X 63 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 9 9
TKPK 173N 627W 53 X X X 53 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 4 4
TNCM 181N 631W 36 4 X X 40 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 5 5
TISX 177N 648W 8 26 X X 34 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2
TIST 183N 650W 3 26 X X 29 ST CROIX VI 8 26 X X 34
TJPS 180N 666W X 24 2 X 26 ST THOMAS VI 3 26 X X 29
MDSD 185N 697W X 1 17 2 20 SAN JUAN PR X 24 2 X 26
MDCB 176N 714W X X 12 7 19 PONCE PR X 24 2 X 26
MTPP 186N 724W X X 6 12 18
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
C FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
D FROM 8AM MON TO 8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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