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TROPICAL STORM GORDON PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 17 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT WED SEP 20 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.0N 79.6W 36 2 X X 38 BOSTON MA X X 6 6 12
36.0N 76.0W X 21 2 X 23 PORTLAND ME X X 3 7 10
39.0N 71.5W X 1 13 2 16 BAR HARBOR ME X X 2 8 10
BERMUDA X X X 2 2 EASTPORT ME X X 1 9 10
COCOA BEACH FL 6 X X X 6 ST JOHN NB X X X 9 9
DAYTONA BEACH FL 58 X X X 58 MONCTON NB X X X 9 9
JACKSONVILLE FL 74 X X X 74 YARMOUTH NS X X 1 10 11
SAVANNAH GA 48 X X X 48 HALIFAX NS X X X 10 10
CHARLESTON SC 39 1 X X 40 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 8 8
MYRTLE BEACH SC 26 8 X X 34 SYDNEY NS X X X 8 8
WILMINGTON NC 12 18 X X 30 EDDY POINT NS X X X 9 9
MOREHEAD CITY NC 3 24 X X 27 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 6 6
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 22 2 X 24 BURGEO NFLD X X X 5 5
NORFOLK VA X 17 4 X 21 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 5 5
OCEAN CITY MD X 8 9 1 18 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 3 3
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 3 11 1 15 TAMPA FL 85 X X X 85
NEW YORK CITY NY X 1 11 1 13 CEDAR KEY FL 99 X X X 99
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 10 3 13 ST MARKS FL 68 X X X 68
PROVIDENCE RI X X 8 5 13 APALACHICOLA FL 18 X X X 18
NANTUCKET MA X X 8 5 13 GULF 29N 85W 3 X X X 3
HYANNIS MA X X 7 6 13
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
C FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
D FROM 8PM TUE TO 8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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