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HURRICANE GORDON PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN SEP 17 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT WED SEP 20 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.8N 80.0W 38 2 X X 40 BOSTON MA X X 4 7 11
35.5N 76.5W X 21 2 X 23 PORTLAND ME X X 2 7 9
38.5N 72.5W X 1 13 2 16 BAR HARBOR ME X X 1 8 9
BERMUDA X X X 3 3 EASTPORT ME X X X 9 9
COCOA BEACH FL 12 1 X X 13 ST JOHN NB X X X 9 9
DAYTONA BEACH FL 57 X X X 57 MONCTON NB X X X 8 8
JACKSONVILLE FL 66 X X X 66 YARMOUTH NS X X X 10 10
SAVANNAH GA 45 X X X 45 HALIFAX NS X X X 9 9
CHARLESTON SC 36 2 X X 38 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 7 7
MYRTLE BEACH SC 19 13 X 1 33 SYDNEY NS X X X 7 7
WILMINGTON NC 6 22 X X 28 EDDY POINT NS X X X 8 8
MOREHEAD CITY NC 1 23 1 X 25 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 5 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 18 4 X 22 BURGEO NFLD X X X 4 4
NORFOLK VA X 13 6 X 19 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 4 4
OCEAN CITY MD X 5 11 X 16 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 2 2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 2 11 1 14 VENICE FL 40 X X X 40
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 10 2 12 TAMPA FL 99 X X X 99
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 7 6 13 CEDAR KEY FL 99 X X X 99
PROVIDENCE RI X X 6 6 12 ST MARKS FL 23 X X X 23
NANTUCKET MA X X 5 8 13 APALACHICOLA FL 2 X X X 2
HYANNIS MA X X 5 7 12 GULF 29N 85W 6 X X X 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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