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TROPICAL STORM GORDON PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT SEP 16 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT TUE SEP 19 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.0N 84.6W 31 1 X X 32 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 4 4
28.8N 83.7W 13 10 1 1 25 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 3 3
31.0N 82.5W X 14 6 2 22 NANTUCKET MA X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W 2 1 X 1 4 HYANNIS MA X X X 2 2
MUAN 219N 850W 4 X 1 X 5 BOSTON MA X X X 2 2
MYGF 266N 787W X X 1 2 3 KEY WEST FL 4 2 1 X 7
MARATHON FL 1 2 1 1 5 MARCO ISLAND FL 5 5 2 X 12
MIAMI FL X 2 2 1 5 FT MYERS FL 7 7 1 1 16
W PALM BEACH FL X 3 3 2 8 VENICE FL 12 7 1 X 20
FT PIERCE FL X 6 3 2 11 TAMPA FL 9 10 2 X 21
COCOA BEACH FL 1 8 4 1 14 CEDAR KEY FL 6 15 2 1 24
DAYTONA BEACH FL 1 12 4 1 18 ST MARKS FL 4 14 3 1 22
JACKSONVILLE FL X 14 6 1 21 APALACHICOLA FL 8 10 2 1 21
SAVANNAH GA X 7 10 3 20 PANAMA CITY FL 5 9 4 1 19
CHARLESTON SC X 3 11 3 17 PENSACOLA FL 1 4 5 2 12
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 1 9 6 16 MOBILE AL X 1 4 3 8
WILMINGTON NC X X 6 8 14 GULFPORT MS X 1 1 4 6
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 3 9 12 BURAS LA X 1 1 3 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 2 8 10 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 1 3 4
NORFOLK VA X X 1 10 11 GULF 29N 85W 14 7 2 X 23
OCEAN CITY MD X X X 8 8 GULF 29N 87W 7 5 3 1 16
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 7 7 GULF 28N 89W 1 2 3 2 8
NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 1 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM SUN TO 7PM SUN
C FROM 7PM SUN TO 7AM MON
D FROM 7AM MON TO 7AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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