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TROPICAL STORM GORDON PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SAT SEP 16 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT TUE SEP 19 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.0N 85.7W 33 X X X 33 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 2 2
27.5N 85.1W 16 6 1 1 24 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 2 2
30.0N 84.0W X 9 9 2 20 KEY WEST FL 1 3 3 2 9
MUSN 216N 826W X 1 1 1 3 MARCO ISLAND FL 1 4 4 2 11
MUHA 230N 824W 2 1 2 1 6 FT MYERS FL 1 5 5 2 13
MUAN 219N 850W 5 2 1 X 8 VENICE FL 2 7 5 2 16
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2 TAMPA FL 1 7 7 2 17
MYGF 266N 787W X X 1 4 5 CEDAR KEY FL X 8 8 2 18
MARATHON FL X 1 3 2 6 ST MARKS FL X 9 9 2 20
MIAMI FL X X 2 4 6 APALACHICOLA FL 1 12 7 1 21
W PALM BEACH FL X X 3 4 7 PANAMA CITY FL 1 11 7 1 20
FT PIERCE FL X X 4 5 9 PENSACOLA FL X 7 6 3 16
COCOA BEACH FL X 1 4 5 10 MOBILE AL X 3 5 3 11
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 1 7 5 13 GULFPORT MS X 2 4 3 9
JACKSONVILLE FL X 1 8 5 14 BURAS LA X 2 3 2 7
SAVANNAH GA X X 5 8 13 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 2 3 5
CHARLESTON SC X X 2 8 10 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 7 8 GULF 29N 85W 3 13 5 1 22
WILMINGTON NC X X X 7 7 GULF 29N 87W 5 9 4 1 19
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 89W 2 5 3 1 11
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 2 3
NORFOLK VA X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM SUN TO 1PM SUN
C FROM 1PM SUN TO 1AM MON
D FROM 1AM MON TO 1AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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