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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 14 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT SUN SEP 17 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.5N 89.5W 61 X X X 61 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
22.3N 90.4W 29 2 X 1 32 BURAS LA X X X 5 5
23.0N 91.0W 12 13 1 X 26 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 4 4
MUSN 216N 826W X X 1 2 3 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 5 5
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 2 3 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 5 5
MUAN 219N 850W X 3 3 3 9 GALVESTON TX X X X 6 6
MMCZ 205N 869W 37 X X X 37 FREEPORT TX X X X 6 6
MZBZ 175N 883W X X X 3 3 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 6 6
MMSO 238N 982W X X 2 5 7 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 6 6
MMTM 222N 979W X X 1 5 6 BROWNSVILLE TX X X 2 7 9
MMTX 210N 974W X X 1 4 5 GULF 29N 85W X X X 2 2
MMVR 192N 961W X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 87W X X X 4 4
MMFR 185N 926W X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 89W X X X 7 7
MMMD 210N 897W 48 X X X 48 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 8 9
KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 8 9
VENICE FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 95W X X 1 7 8
PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2 GULF 27N 96W X X 2 7 9
PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2 GULF 25N 96W X 1 5 6 12
MOBILE AL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
C FROM 7AM SAT TO 7PM SAT
D FROM 7PM SAT TO 7PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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