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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 13 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SAT SEP 16 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.2N  70.2W      35  1  X  X 36   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  8  8
31.5N  67.5W       4 19  2  X 25   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  7  7
34.0N  65.0W       X  1 15  3 19   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  6  6
BERMUDA            X  6 13  1 20   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  7  7
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  1  2   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  6  6
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  6  6
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  3  3   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  5  5
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  8  8
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  4  4   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  7  7
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  7  7   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  6  6
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  7  7   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  3  3
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  8  8   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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