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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE SEP 12 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT FRI SEP 15 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.4N  74.0W      99  X  X  X 99   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1  5  6
30.5N  73.5W      99  X  X  X 99   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1  6  7
30.5N  73.0W      99  X  X  X 99   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  2  7  9
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  2  8 10
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  1  2   WILMINGTON NC      X  1  1  8 10
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  2  2  4   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  1  1  8 10
BERMUDA            X  X  X  6  6   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  2  6  8
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  2  3   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  3  4   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  2  2
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  2  3  5   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  2  4  6   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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