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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 11 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT THU SEP 14 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.6N 74.0W 57 X X X 57 CHARLESTON SC X X 1 8 9
29.6N 74.6W 46 X 1 X 47 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 8 9
30.0N 75.0W 39 1 X X 40 WILMINGTON NC X X 1 8 9
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 2 2 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 2 7 9
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 1 6 7
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 3 3 NORFOLK VA X X X 3 3
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 5 6 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2
MYGF 266N 787W X X 4 6 10 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 4 4
BERMUDA X X X 2 2 FT MYERS FL X X X 5 5
MARATHON FL X X X 2 2 VENICE FL X X X 5 5
MIAMI FL X X 1 4 5 TAMPA FL X X X 6 6
W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 7 8 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 6 6
FT PIERCE FL X X 2 7 9 ST MARKS FL X X X 4 4
COCOA BEACH FL X X 2 8 10 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 8 9 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 7 8 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
SAVANNAH GA X X X 8 8
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
C FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED
D FROM 2PM WED TO 2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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