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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN SEP 03 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST WED SEP  6 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.8N  61.4W      52  X  X  X 52   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  1  1  2
23.0N  63.0W      27  5  1  X 33   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  2  2
24.5N  64.5W       2 18  3  1 24   BERMUDA            X  X  X  8  8
TNCM 181N 631W     X  1  1  X  2   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1  1  2
TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1  1  2   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  1  1  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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