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TROPICAL STORM DEBBY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU AUG 24 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SUN AUG 27 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
20.8N 80.7W 55 X X X 55 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 4 4
22.1N 82.5W 9 27 X 1 37 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2
23.5N 84.0W X 16 11 1 28 KEY WEST FL X 18 4 1 23
MKJP 179N 768W 3 X X X 3 MARCO ISLAND FL X 3 8 4 15
MKJS 185N 779W 39 X X X 39 FT MYERS FL X 1 7 6 14
MWCG 193N 814W 22 4 1 X 27 VENICE FL X X 6 7 13
MUGM 200N 751W 99 X X X 99 TAMPA FL X X 2 8 10
MUCM 214N 779W 35 X X X 35 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 7 7
MUCF 221N 805W 41 2 X X 43 ST MARKS FL X X X 5 5
MUSN 216N 826W 10 25 1 X 36 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 7 7
MUHA 230N 824W 4 29 X 1 34 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 6 6
MUAN 219N 850W X 8 12 1 21 PENSACOLA FL X X X 5 5
MMCZ 205N 869W X X 4 4 8 MOBILE AL X X X 4 4
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 GULFPORT MS X X X 4 4
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2 BURAS LA X X X 6 6
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 3 3 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 4 4
MMMD 210N 897W X X X 4 4 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 2 2
MARATHON FL X 13 4 2 19 GULF 29N 85W X X X 10 10
MIAMI FL X 2 4 4 10 GULF 29N 87W X X X 10 10
W PALM BEACH FL X X 2 5 7 GULF 28N 89W X X X 10 10
FT PIERCE FL X X 1 5 6 GULF 28N 91W X X X 6 6
COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 93W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
C FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
D FROM 2AM SAT TO 2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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