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TROPICAL STORM DEBBY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED AUG 23 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST SAT AUG 26 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.2N 75.1W 55 X X X 55 MARATHON FL X X 12 8 20
22.3N 76.9W 14 23 X X 37 MIAMI FL X X 11 9 20
23.5N 78.5W X 19 9 1 29 W PALM BEACH FL X X 7 11 18
MDSD 185N 697W 5 X X X 5 FT PIERCE FL X X 3 12 15
MTPP 186N 724W 27 X X X 27 COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 12 13
MTCA 183N 738W 5 X X X 5 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 10 10
MKJP 179N 768W X 1 X 1 2 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 6 6
MKJS 185N 779W X 2 1 1 4 SAVANNAH GA X X X 2 2
MWCG 193N 814W X X 1 3 4 KEY WEST FL X X 8 10 18
MUGM 200N 751W 37 1 X X 38 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 4 14 18
MUCM 214N 779W 2 25 1 X 28 FT MYERS FL X X 2 15 17
MUCF 221N 805W X 2 13 3 18 VENICE FL X X 1 14 15
MUSN 216N 826W X X 2 8 10 TAMPA FL X X X 13 13
MUHA 230N 824W X X 5 10 15 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 10 10
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 5 5 ST MARKS FL X X X 6 6
MDPP 198N 707W 99 X X X 99 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 7 7
MBJT 215N 712W 43 X X X 43 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 5 5
MYMM 224N 730W 38 X X X 38 PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3
MYSM 241N 745W 7 9 1 1 18 MOBILE AL X X X 2 2
MYEG 235N 758W 15 15 1 X 31 GULF 29N 85W X X X 8 8
MYAK 241N 776W X 21 6 1 28 GULF 29N 87W X X X 5 5
MYNN 251N 775W X 9 11 2 22 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
MYGF 266N 787W X X 10 7 17
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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