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HURRICANE DEBBY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED AUG 23 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST SAT AUG 26 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.0N 72.9W 54 X X X 54 MYGF 266N 787W X X 5 12 17
22.0N 75.1W 10 27 X X 37 MARATHON FL X X 3 14 17
23.0N 77.0W X 15 11 1 27 MIAMI FL X X 4 14 18
MDSD 185N 697W 35 X X X 35 W PALM BEACH FL X X 2 15 17
MTPP 186N 724W 11 2 X X 13 FT PIERCE FL X X 1 14 15
MTCA 183N 738W 1 4 1 X 6 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 13 13
MKJP 179N 768W X X 2 2 4 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 10 10
MKJS 185N 779W X X 3 3 6 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 7 7
MWCG 193N 814W X X X 4 4 SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3
MUGM 200N 751W 5 18 1 X 24 KEY WEST FL X X 1 15 16
MUCM 214N 779W X 7 12 2 21 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 15 16
MUCF 221N 805W X X 7 8 15 FT MYERS FL X X X 15 15
MUSN 216N 826W X X X 8 8 VENICE FL X X X 13 13
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 11 12 TAMPA FL X X X 12 12
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 3 3 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 9 9
MDPP 198N 707W 69 X X X 69 ST MARKS FL X X X 6 6
MBJT 215N 712W 62 X X X 62 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 5 5
MYMM 224N 730W 42 2 X X 44 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 4 4
MYSM 241N 745W 1 19 3 X 23 PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2
MYEG 235N 758W X 23 5 X 28 GULF 29N 85W X X X 6 6
MYAK 241N 776W X 4 17 3 24 GULF 29N 87W X X X 3 3
MYNN 251N 775W X 2 15 4 21
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
C FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
D FROM 2AM FRI TO 2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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