HOME	PRODUCTS	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DEBBY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE AUG 22 2000
 
...CORRECTED THE ADVISORY NUMBER TO 13...
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI AUG 25 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.0N  72.0W      53  X  X  X 53   MYNN 251N 775W     X  1 12  7 20
22.0N  74.5W       3 32  1  X 36   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  3 13 16
23.0N  76.0W       X 19  7  1 27   ST THOMAS VI      99  X  X  X 99
TIST 183N 650W    99  X  X  X 99   SAN JUAN PR       99  X  X  X 99
TJPS 180N 666W    99  X  X  X 99   PONCE PR          99  X  X  X 99
MDSD 185N 697W    37  X  X  X 37   MARATHON FL        X  X  1 13 14
MDCB 176N 714W     2  1  X  X  3   MIAMI FL           X  X  1 14 15
MTPP 186N 724W    10  5  X  X 15   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1 13 14
MTCA 183N 738W     1  6  1  1  9   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X 13 13
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  2  2  4   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X 11 11
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  2  3  5   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  8  8
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  3  3   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  5  5
MUGM 200N 751W     X 20  1  1 22   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  2 12  4 18   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X 12 12
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  2 10 12   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X 12 12
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  5  5   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X 11 11
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  8  8   VENICE FL          X  X  X 10 10
TJSJ 184N 661W    99  X  X  X 99   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  8  8
MDPP 198N 707W    62  X  X  X 62   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  6  6
MBJT 215N 712W    58  X  X  X 58   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MYMM 224N 730W    24 17  X  X 41   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W     X 21  3  1 25   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  2  2
MYEG 235N 758W     X 18  7  1 26   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  3  3
MYAK 241N 776W     X  2 15  5 22
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN