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TROPICAL STORM DEBBY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON AUG 21 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST THU AUG 24 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
17.8N 65.7W 54 1 X X 55 MUHA 230N 824W X X X 4 4
18.8N 68.8W X 32 X X 32 TJSJ 184N 661W 43 6 X X 49
20.0N 71.5W X 7 15 1 23 MDPP 198N 707W X 14 10 1 25
TFFF 146N 610W 8 X X X 8 MBJT 215N 712W X 3 16 2 21
TDPR 153N 614W 50 X X X 50 MYMM 224N 730W X X 11 7 18
TFFR 163N 615W 90 X X X 90 MYSM 241N 745W X X 2 13 15
TAPA 171N 618W 85 X X X 85 MYEG 235N 758W X X 1 15 16
TKPK 173N 627W 78 X X X 78 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 14 14
TNCM 181N 631W 64 X X X 64 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 12 12
TISX 177N 648W 63 X X X 63 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 8 8
TIST 183N 650W 56 1 X X 57 ST CROIX VI 63 X X X 63
TJPS 180N 666W 34 13 X X 47 ST THOMAS VI 56 1 X X 57
MDSD 185N 697W X 26 2 X 28 SAN JUAN PR 43 6 X X 49
MDCB 176N 714W X 9 9 1 19 PONCE PR 34 13 X X 47
MTPP 186N 724W X 3 15 2 20 MARATHON FL X X X 7 7
MTCA 183N 738W X X 12 5 17 MIAMI FL X X X 7 7
MKJP 179N 768W X X 1 10 11 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 5 5
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 10 10 FT PIERCE FL X X X 4 4
MWCG 193N 814W X X X 5 5 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MUGM 200N 751W X X 7 11 18 KEY WEST FL X X X 5 5
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 15 15 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 4 4
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 9 9 FT MYERS FL X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W X X X 4 4 VENICE FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
C FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED
D FROM 2PM WED TO 2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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