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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN AUG 20 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  47.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED AUG 23 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
14.8N  52.5W      56  1  X  X 57   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  6 14 20
15.6N  55.7W       X 35  1  X 36   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  3 16 19
16.5N  59.0W       X  3 22  1 26   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  1 16 17
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  X  2  2   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X 17 17
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  X  3  3   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X 15 15
TTPP 106N 614W     X  X  1  2  3   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  6  6
TTPT 112N 608W     X  X  1  4  5   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X  2  2
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X  2  5  7   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X 15 15
TBPB 131N 595W     X  1 11  2 14   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  4  4
TVSV 131N 612W     X  X  6  6 12   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W     X  X 10  5 15   ST CROIX VI        X  X  1 16 17
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X 13  5 18   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X 17 17
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X 12  7 19   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X 15 15
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X 13  8 21   PONCE PR           X  X  X 15 15
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X 11 10 21
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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