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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT AUG 19 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  45.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE AUG 22 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.5N  50.5W      45  1  X  X 46   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  1 16 17
14.5N  53.5W       X 29  1  X 30   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X 17 17
15.5N  57.0W       X  X 21  1 22   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X 16 16
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  X  2  2   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X 15 15
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  X  9  9   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X 14 14
TTPP 106N 614W     X  X  1 10 11   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X 11 11
TTPT 112N 608W     X  X  2 11 13   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  4  4
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X  1 12 13   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X 12 12
TBPB 131N 595W     X  X  8 10 18   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  2  2
TVSV 131N 612W     X  X  1 15 16   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X 15 15
TLPL 138N 610W     X  X  2 15 17   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X 14 14
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  2 16 18   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X 12 12
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  1 17 18   PONCE PR           X  X  X 11 11
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  1 17 18
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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