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TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT AUG 19 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE AUG 22 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.7N  61.0W      55  X  X  X 55   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  3  3
20.8N  62.9W      23 10  X  X 33   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  2  7  1 10
22.0N  65.0W       1 17  4  1 23   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  1  8  9
TFFR 163N 615W     X  3  1  X  4   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1 11 12
TAPA 171N 618W     2  7  1  X 10   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X 10 10
TKPK 173N 627W     1  7  2  X 10   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  8  8
TNCM 181N 631W     2 12  1  1 16   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  5  5
TISX 177N 648W     X  4  4  1  9   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2
TIST 183N 650W     X  6  5  1 12   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2
TJPS 180N 666W     X  1  5  2  8   ST CROIX VI        X  4  4  1  9
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  1  5  6   ST THOMAS VI       X  6  5  1 12
MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X  2  2   SAN JUAN PR        X  2  7  1 10
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  4  4   PONCE PR           X  1  5  2  8
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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