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TROPICAL STORM CHRIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI AUG 18 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST MON AUG 21 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.7N  60.2W      52  X  X  X 52   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  5  5
19.7N  62.2W      21 11  X  1 33   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  3  3
20.7N  64.4W       1 17  6  1 25   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  2  2
TFFF 146N 610W     X  1  1  X  2   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  3 10  3 16
TDPR 153N 614W     1  3  1  1  6   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  1 10 11
TFFR 163N 615W     5  8  1  X 14   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X 13 13
TAPA 171N 618W    10 10  X  X 20   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  9  9
TKPK 173N 627W     3 14  1  1 19   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  4  4
TNCM 181N 631W     4 17  1  1 23   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2
TISX 177N 648W     X  7  7  2 16   ST CROIX VI        X  7  7  2 16
TIST 183N 650W     X  9  8  1 18   ST THOMAS VI       X  9  8  1 18
TJPS 180N 666W     X  1  9  3 13   SAN JUAN PR        X  3 10  3 16
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  1  9 10   PONCE PR           X  1  9  3 13
MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X  5  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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