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TROPICAL STORM BERYL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON AUG 14 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT THU AUG 17 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
24.7N 97.3W 50 X X X 50 PORT O CONNOR TX 2 6 6 2 16
25.6N 98.3W 24 4 1 X 29 CORPUSCHRISTI TX 4 12 4 2 22
26.5N 99.5W 4 17 2 1 24 BROWNSVILLE TX 32 1 X X 33
MMSO 238N 982W 22 1 X X 23 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 1 2
MMTM 222N 979W 6 1 X 1 8 GULF 28N 93W X 1 3 3 7
NEW IBERIA LA X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 95W 2 5 5 2 14
PORT ARTHUR TX X X 1 4 5 GULF 27N 96W 15 5 2 1 23
GALVESTON TX X 1 3 5 9 GULF 25N 96W 71 X X X 71
FREEPORT TX X 2 5 4 11
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM TUE TO 7PM TUE
C FROM 7PM TUE TO 7AM WED
D FROM 7AM WED TO 7AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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