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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU AUG 10 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN AUG 13 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.0N  75.5W      35  1  X  X 36   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  3  7 10
29.8N  73.7W       8 16  3  X 27   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  2  9 11
31.0N  71.5W       X  5 14  2 21   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  8  8
MYSM 241N 745W     X  2  1  X  3   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  7  7
MYNN 251N 775W     3  2  1  X  6   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  6  6
MYGF 266N 787W    15  X  X  1 16   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
BERMUDA            X  X  X 11 11   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  4  4
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  3  3
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  1  3  4   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  4  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  2  4  6   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  3  3
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  2  6  8   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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