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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU AUG 10 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SUN AUG 13 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.6N 77.6W 42 X X X 42 OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 7 8
31.6N 76.2W 14 11 1 1 27 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 6 6
32.5N 74.5W X 12 5 3 20 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 2 2 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 5 5
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 4 4
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 3 3 NANTUCKET MA X X X 5 5
MYGF 266N 787W X 1 1 4 6 HYANNIS MA X X X 4 4
BERMUDA X X X 5 5 BOSTON MA X X X 3 3
MARATHON FL X X X 2 2 PORTLAND ME X X X 2 2
MIAMI FL X X X 4 4 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 2 2
W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 4 5 YARMOUTH NS X X X 2 2
FT PIERCE FL 4 1 1 2 8 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2
COCOA BEACH FL 14 X X 1 15 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 3 3
DAYTONA BEACH FL 17 1 X 1 19 FT MYERS FL X X X 4 4
JACKSONVILLE FL 11 2 1 1 15 VENICE FL X X X 4 4
SAVANNAH GA 5 8 1 2 16 TAMPA FL X X 1 4 5
CHARLESTON SC 3 11 2 1 17 CEDAR KEY FL 1 X 1 4 6
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 10 4 3 17 ST MARKS FL X X 1 3 4
WILMINGTON NC X 6 7 3 16 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 3 8 5 16 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 1 8 6 15 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
NORFOLK VA X X 3 8 11
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
C FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
D FROM 8AM SAT TO 8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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