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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED AUG 09 2000
...CORRECTED FOR DEPRESSION NUMBER...
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SAT AUG 12 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.0N 78.6W 99 X X X 99 WILMINGTON NC X X X 6 6
28.3N 79.1W 39 X X X 39 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 4 4
28.5N 79.5W 30 1 1 X 32 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 2 2 KEY WEST FL X 1 2 4 7
MYMM 224N 730W X X X 2 2 MARCO ISLAND FL 1 5 4 4 14
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 5 5 FT MYERS FL 2 6 5 3 16
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 4 4 VENICE FL 1 6 5 4 16
MYAK 241N 776W X 1 X 6 7 TAMPA FL 1 7 6 4 18
MYNN 251N 775W 3 2 1 5 11 CEDAR KEY FL X 5 6 5 16
MYGF 266N 787W 21 2 X 1 24 ST MARKS FL X X 4 8 12
MARATHON FL X 1 3 5 9 APALACHICOLA FL X X 3 8 11
MIAMI FL 5 5 3 3 16 PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 7 9
W PALM BEACH FL 14 4 2 2 22 PENSACOLA FL X X X 6 6
FT PIERCE FL 18 3 2 1 24 MOBILE AL X X X 4 4
COCOA BEACH FL 16 5 2 1 24 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
DAYTONA BEACH FL 9 7 3 3 22 BURAS LA X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL 1 5 5 6 17 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2
SAVANNAH GA X 1 3 8 12 GULF 29N 85W X X 4 7 11
CHARLESTON SC X X 2 8 10 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 5 6
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 7 8 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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