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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU JUN 08 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT SUN JUN 11 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.9N  94.4W      52  X  X  X 52   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  7  7
23.0N  95.0W      18  9  1  X 28   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  9  9
24.0N  95.5W       2 17  2  2 23   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X 10 10
MMSO 238N 982W     X  5  7  3 15   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  1 10 11
MMTM 222N 979W     X  6  3  3 12   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  2 10 12
MMTX 210N 974W     1  4  1  3  9   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  1  8  7 16
MMVR 192N 961W     2  1  X  1  4   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  2  2
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  1  3  4   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  5  5
MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  7  8
GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  1 10 11
BURAS LA           X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  2 10 12
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  4  4   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  6  8 14
NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  5  5   GULF 25N 96W       X  8  8  3 19
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM FRI TO  7PM FRI
C FROM  7PM FRI TO  7AM SAT
D FROM  7AM SAT TO  7AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA/STEWART
 
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