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TROPICAL STORM ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1900
1500Z TUE NOV 07 2000
 
AT 7 AM PST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
WATCH AND WARNING EASTWARD.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A
HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO
FROM EAST OF ACAPULCO TO SALINA CRUZ.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  98.0W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  98.0W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  98.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 14.6N  97.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.3N  97.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.2N  96.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 10NE  10SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  98.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 17.0N  96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 19.0N  94.5W...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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