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TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1700
2100Z THU OCT 05 2000
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 108.5W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 108.5W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 108.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.7N 109.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.7N 110.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.9N 112.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 108.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 16.4N 114.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 18.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
FORECASTER RAPPAPORT
 
 
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