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TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1700
0900Z WED OCT 04 2000
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 106.4W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 106.4W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 106.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.1N 107.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 16.3N 108.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 106.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 17.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 17.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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