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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1600
0300Z WED SEP 20 2000
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM
ZIHUATANEJO TO MANZANILLO.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 103.4W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 103.4W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 103.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.2N 103.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.7N 103.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.2N 104.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 103.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 18.5N 104.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.5N 105.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
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