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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1500
0300Z SAT SEP 16 2000
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 24 DEGREES NORTH.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 107.8W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 107.8W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 107.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.9N 108.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.4N 110.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 24.7N 111.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 107.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 26.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 28.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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