HOME	PRODUCTS	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0300
0900Z FRI JUN 23 2000
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF
CABO SAN LAZARO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 110.0W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 200SE 125SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 110.0W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 109.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.9N 111.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.6N 112.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.2N 113.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 110.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 25.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 26.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN