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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0300
2100Z THU JUN 22 2000
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 108.3W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......125NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 200SE 125SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 108.3W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 107.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.3N 109.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.3N 110.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 108.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 21.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 23.5N 117.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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