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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0300
1500Z THU JUN 22 2000
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 107.4W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......125NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 200SE 125SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 107.4W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 107.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.4N 108.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.3N 109.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 107.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 21.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 23.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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