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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0300
2100Z WED JUN 21 2000
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 105.6W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......125NE  90SE  75SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 105.6W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 105.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.0N 106.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.5N 108.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 105.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 18.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 20.5N 117.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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