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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0300
0900Z TUE JUN 20 2000
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE MEXICAN COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MEXICAN COAST FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO
ZIHUATANEJO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 100.8W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 100.8W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 100.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.6N 102.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.0N 104.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.5N 106.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 100.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 16.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 17.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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