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HURRICANE MICHAEL SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1700
1800Z THU OCT 19 2000
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.0N  58.3W AT 19/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT 32 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT.......145NE 175SE 175SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 240SE 240SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.0N  58.3W AT 19/1800Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.8N  61.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 46.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 240SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 50.0N  53.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...360NE 420SE 300SW 240NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 44.0N  58.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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