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HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1700
1500Z WED OCT 18 2000
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  70.0W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 240SE  240W 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  70.0W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  70.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 33.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 37.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 42.0N  60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 420SE 420SW 240NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N  70.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z...ABSORBED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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