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HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1700
0300Z WED OCT 18 2000
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N  70.8W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N  70.8W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  70.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.2N  70.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 33.0N  69.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.5N  65.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 240SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N  70.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 41.5N  60.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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