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TROPICAL STORM KEITH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1500
2100Z WED OCT 04 2000
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FROM TUXPAN TO LA PESCA.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF LA PESCA TO MATAMOROS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SOUTH OF TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO
COATZACOALCOS.
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO MATAMOROS
LATER TODAY OR EARLY TOMORROW.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  94.1W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  94.1W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  93.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.0N  95.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.2N  96.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.8N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N  94.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.5N  99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 27.5N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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