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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEITH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1500
2100Z TUE OCT 03 2000
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  89.9W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  89.9W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  89.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.9N  90.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.3N  91.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.0N  93.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N  89.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 21.5N  95.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.5N  98.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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