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TROPICAL STORM KEITH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1500
0900Z TUE OCT 03 2000
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE FROM CABO CATOCHE MEXICO TO MONKEY
RIVER TOWN BELIZE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE TO PROGRESO.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  88.7W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM ...INLAND
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE   0SW  00NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  88.7W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  88.4W ...INLAND
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.1N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.1N  90.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.3N  90.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  88.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.0N  91.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 27.0N  92.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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