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HURRICANE KEITH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1500
0300Z MON OCT 02 2000
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO MONKEY
RIVER TOWN.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF YUCATAN
FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE TO PROGRESO.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 87.9W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 0 DEGREES AT 0 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 160SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 87.9W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 87.9W
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.0N 87.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.0N 88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.3N 88.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 87.9W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 22.0N 89.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 26.0N 92.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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