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HURRICANE KEITH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1500
2100Z SUN OCT 01 2000
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO MONKEY
RIVER TOWN.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF YUCATAN
FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE TO PROGRESO.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 87.9W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 87.9W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 87.7W
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.0N 88.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.6N 88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.3N 88.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 87.9W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 22.0N 89.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 26.0N 91.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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