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HURRICANE KEITH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1500
0900Z SUN OCT 01 2000
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO MONKEY
RIVER TOWN.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF YUCATAN
FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE TO PROGRESO.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 87.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..140NE 140SE 140SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 87.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 87.3W
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.0N 87.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.7N 87.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.5N 87.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 50NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 87.3W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 21.0N 88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 24.0N 89.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
FORECASTER PASCH
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