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HURRICANE KEITH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1500
1500Z SAT SEP 30 2000
A HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF YUCATAN
FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO THE MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER. THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING COULD BE UPGRADED TO HURRICANE WARNING LATER TODAY.
AT 11 AM...1500 UTC THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF YUCATAN FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE TO
PROGRESO.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 86.6W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT MEANDERING
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE 130SE 75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 86.6W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 86.5W
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.9N 87.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 20.0N 87.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 20.8N 87.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 86.6W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 21.5N 88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 22.5N 88.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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