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TROPICAL STORM KEITH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1500
0300Z SAT SEP 30 2000
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL MEXICO TO CABO CATOCHE MEXICO. 
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA ON SATURDAY.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  85.3W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  25SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  85.3W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  85.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.3N  85.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.9N  85.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 19.6N  86.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  85.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 20.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 22.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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