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TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1400
0300Z SUN OCT 01 2000
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...
GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR BARBADOS...ST. LUCIA...ST. VINCENT...AND THE GRENADINES.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N  58.3W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N  58.3W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  57.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 11.3N  60.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 11.9N  62.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 12.7N  65.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N  58.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 13.5N  68.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 15.0N  72.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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