HOME	PRODUCTS	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1400
0900Z SAT SEP 30 2000
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND THE
GRENADINE ISLANDS.  ALSO AT 5 AM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...AND
GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N  53.6W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N  53.6W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N  53.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 10.4N  55.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  20SE  20SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 11.2N  57.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.2N  59.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N  53.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 13.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 15.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN