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TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1400
0300Z SAT SEP 30 2000 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  53.0W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  53.0W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N  52.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 10.8N  54.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 11.7N  57.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.8N  59.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N  53.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 13.8N  61.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 16.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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